Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.974907 3.131577 3.296798 3.484846 3.693979 3.920655 4.186612
2025-06-29 2.639392 2.838405 3.057126 3.317769 3.623250 3.974344 4.415149
2025-07-06 2.429115 2.656317 2.914367 3.233786 3.625494 4.100242 4.736370
2025-07-13 2.344679 2.607199 2.915497 3.312678 3.824505 4.483906 5.440729
2025-07-20 2.245439 2.530354 2.874129 3.332069 3.948193 4.787509 6.103972
2025-07-27 2.207835 2.523558 2.915811 3.458152 4.225197 5.343688 7.287147
2025-08-03 2.152660 2.489266 2.917738 3.529324 4.433585 5.839170 8.551221
2025-08-10 2.063587 2.404837 2.846386 3.490632 4.473766 6.076448 9.441005
2025-08-17 1.949139 2.280687 2.713390 3.352173 4.343889 6.004334 9.669033
2025-08-24 1.864594 2.191677 2.622704 3.267547 4.288747 6.053385 10.196719
2025-08-31 1.810130 2.139799 2.579571 3.248793 4.336360 6.296974 11.325417
2025-09-07 1.749435 2.076563 2.516831 3.195249 4.319314 6.413068 12.188573
2025-09-14 1.672490 1.993473 2.429372 3.109725 4.259949 6.478685 13.128800
2025-09-21 1.593343 1.904618 2.329994 2.999949 4.149032 6.423076 13.693921
2025-09-28 1.536655 1.844580 2.269256 2.947092 4.135047 6.580440 15.278290
2025-10-05 1.521105 1.840790 2.289637 3.025228 4.372219 7.388381 21.372745
2025-10-12 1.492003 1.816410 2.277982 3.049737 4.512326 8.025074 29.506352
2025-10-19 1.486688 1.825383 2.316546 3.162185 4.850297 9.395230 63.489400
2025-10-26 1.469687 1.816436 2.326831 3.226413 5.101510 10.701395 287.207837
2025-11-02 1.432763 1.776653 2.286654 3.196379 5.136136 11.275942 NaN
2025-11-09 1.379381 1.710801 2.202531 3.080307 4.954559 10.908857 NaN
2025-11-16 1.338578 1.662428 2.144404 3.009026 4.872777 10.944859 NaN
2025-11-23 1.312066 1.634404 2.117443 2.993673 4.923786 11.598157 NaN